Nolasco looks to bounce back in 2015 |
Phil
Hughes had his best season in the big leagues in 2014, Ervin Santana is the big offseason
signee, and if Kyle Gibson can find
consistency, the Twins might have a quite formidable 1-2-3 punch on the
frontlines. Then we get to that fourth rotation spot and last year’s big offseason signee, Ricky Nolasco.
In 2013 while splitting time between the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Dodgers, Nolasco went 13-11 with a 3.70 ERA while
throwing 199.1 innings. He was rewarded with a 4-year $49 million dollar contract
from the Twins. A welcome sight for Twins fans, but ultimately looked like an
offer from a desperate team that said ‘hey congrats kid, you have a date for
the prom, unfortunately it’s your cousin.’
Well four months and 18 terrible starts later,
Nolasco revealed he was pitching with elbow pain and was shut down immediately.
So what can we expect from Nolasco in year two of his Twins journey? He’s
healthy, he’s more familiar with his team and being in the American League.
Those points can’t hurt, but it ultimately comes down to regaining his velocity
and control.
2014 saw Nolasco’s velocity drop on all of his
pitches (fastball, 2-seamer, splitter, slider, cutter) except his changeup. His
strike percentage was also down in all but his fastball, which is due to
falling behind in counts and not trusting his breaking stuff to get over the
plate, thus relying on the fastball too often. Opposing teams saw this and teed
off. Nolasco gave up three homeruns off his fastball in 2013, he gave up seven
last season despite throwing the pitch 67 less times.
Partial reason for the Twins giving Nolasco the
contract they did was due to his durability as he had pitched at least 185 innings
in five prior seasons to 2014. Perhaps the wear and tear of 2013 caught up with
him. His curveball and slider accounted for almost 45% of pitches thrown in
2013, he threw his slider more than any other pitch. They accounted for just
under 40% in 2014, nothing drastic but perhaps a minor detail that contributed
to the injury. He is a major leaguer, but no matter your age throwing pitches
that twist and torque your arm consistently will cause some degree of damage
over time.
Heading into spring 2015 Nolasco has added a sinker
to his repertoire, and if Phil Hughes’ opinion means anything to you, it’s
going to be nasty. "He was throwing
some two-seamers that were just falling off," Hughes said."It was one of the best sinkers I've
seen.”
Nolasco’s first season in a Twins uniform was a
disaster, but if you can take anything positive from 2014, it would be in September
where he pitched five games and saw his numbers in nearly every statistical
category improve, most notably his ERA which was 2.93.
Heading into 2015 the questions are plentiful for
all teams, the Twins are no different, and neither is Ricky Nolasco. Optimism
is high, and the optimism surrounding Nolasco is that he has a year under his
belt in the DH driven American League, he’s healthy, and the addition of
Santana and continued growth of Gibson will help take some of the load off his
shoulders.
A new voice in pitching coach Neil Allen to go with
the addition of a sinker and expectation that Nolasco will regain his
confidence, control, and velocity could give the Twins a chance to have a nice
1-2-3-4 punch in their rotation. That would be one of the great turn around
stories in baseball not just for the Twins as a team, but for Ricky Nolasco as
an individual.